Factual data · GO/NO-GO verdict · Financial model calibrated over 36 months
Opening a wine shop in Oran requires a 60-150 m² space with appropriate storage (12-15 °C, 65-75 % humidity), 3.3M DA-11.7M DA DA investment, and sommelier or wine merchant expertise.
Dominant profile: portuaire · industrielle
Competitive density: medium (clear niches still open).
Dominant players: atomized market, few national leaders.
Positioning recommendation: Competitive positioning required: sector margin is tight, edge comes from operational efficiency.
| Indicator | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 revenue | 7.3M DA → 19.5M DA | ×1,18 (ramp-up) | ×1,32 (steady-state) |
| Target net margin | negative to low | 5 % | 11 % |
| Working capital (days of revenue) | 45-60 d | 35-50 d | 30-45 d |
| Cumulative ROI | investment | ~50 % | Payback at 36 months |
These ratios are calibrated on MarketLens sector benchmarks and adjusted by local coefficients of Oran, Algeria (cost −55% vs average, income −72% vs average).
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