Factual data · GO/NO-GO verdict · Financial model calibrated over 90 months
Tourist residence projects in Caen are often financed off-plan with operator (Pierre & Vacances, Adagio, Citadines) or independently. Payback: 7-10 years, net margin 16 %.
Dominant profile: etudiante
Competitive density: moderate (first-mover advantage possible).
Dominant players: mix of family-owned independents and global groups (Accor, Marriott, IHG).
Positioning recommendation: Premium positioning defensible thanks to comfortable sector margin.
| Indicator | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 revenue | 370K € → 2M € | ×1,18 (ramp-up) | ×1,32 (steady-state) |
| Target net margin | negative to low | 12 % | 18 % |
| Working capital (days of revenue) | 45-60 d | 35-50 d | 30-45 d |
| Cumulative ROI | investment | ~50 % | Payback at 90 months |
These ratios are calibrated on MarketLens sector benchmarks and adjusted by local coefficients of Caen (cost −10% vs average, income −8% vs average).
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